Friday, April 08, 2016

HOW BBC DOCUDRAMA 37 DAYS IMPLICATES SIR EDWARD GREY

After watching the BBC docudrama 37 Days several times, and taking notes, here is how 37 Days implicates Sir Edward Grey (and possibly Asquith and Churchill) for World War 1:
1. @ 11:20 Churchill tells Grey in a taxi that he (Churchill) is certain Grey will make them proud if he is called upon (though we are not told the context of this);

2. @30:45 Prince Lichnowsky asks Grey if there are any agreements that could drag Great Britain and France into taking sides with Russia, which Grey denies;

3. Asquith and Grey discuss something secret that Asquith thinks the House of Commons ought to know and has a right to know, but Grey says he wants it kept within the "charmed circle" (again, we are not told what this secret is, but I think it refers to the secret 1912 naval agreement with France);

4. @ 47:00 Count Bensdorf tells Grey that he has been instructed to find the position that Great Britain would take if a conflict were to break out between Austria and Serbia, and Grey replies that he wants Austria and Serbia to fight it out but Russia could get involved (is this an encouragement to Austria);

5. @01:15:00 Eyre Crowe tells Grey that he thinks telling Germany that Great Britain would back Russia would frighten Germany, but Grey disagrees;

6. @10:19:10 Benckendorf tells Grey and Asquith that if Great Britain backs Russia then he will see Germany rein in Austria;

7. @01:41:22 in a cabinet meeting Lord Morley asks Grey if Grey is concealing anything from the cabinet, but Grey does not answer, giving a guilty smile instead (Grey is concealing the 1912 agreement);

8. @02:12:55 at a cabinet meeting Grey reveals the 1912 agreement (the cabinet thinks Grey is referring to the 1904 treaty). There is shock and anger in some members of the cabinet as they they realise they have been misled by Grey into thinking there were no secret agreements that could drag Great Britain into war against Germany. Grey accepts that there had been some "misgivings" and offers to resign, but Asquith backs grey (Asquith knew about the 1912 agreement too but kept it secret);

9. @2:20:50 Lloyd George and Lord Morley realise that Grey has misled them, and LG tells LM that LG would likely resign from the government if GB went to war (but LG does not resign and later becomes PM!);

10. @02:26:45 Cambon tells Grey that Germany will declare on France in the next 24 hours and that all of France knows it, and that Grey and Grey alone can stop the coming war (but Grey does not stop the war);

11. @02:31:00 at a cabinet meeting Lloyd George expresses his scepticism about the war, and accuses Grey of manipulation and of being happy that the German invasion of Belgium had provided "a moral gloss" for the war party in the cabinet to hide their manipulations by keeping the 1912 naval agreement with France secret, but LG drops his opposition to war because he is afraid of a "rampant Germany", and compares Belgium to a small nation like his Wales being bullied.

And thus in 37 Days Grey is accused of manipulation, and when asked to take sides early he refused, but all the time keeping secret the 1912 naval agreement with France.

But Grey is not the only one. Churchill engineered that agreement and Asquith knew of its terms and existence. All three kept it from the cabinet until just 2 days before Great Britain declared war on Germany.

But to be fair to Grey he does issue some warnings:
1. @01:32:00 Grey warns Prince Lichnowsky that if France is drawn into a war if may be difficult for Great Britain to stand aside (Grey is referring to the 1912 agreement, but note that Grey does not inform Lichnowsky that that agreement exists);
2. @01:36:20 Grey tells Cambon that if France follows Russia into a Balkan war it would be hard for Great Britain to follow France. Cambon goes mad at this, and shakes his cane at Grey, because he drew up the 1912 naval agreement with Grey. Cambon returns shortly after with a copy of the agreement to remind Grey of its existence. But Grey was keeping this from his cabinet!

However, 37 Days shows von Moltke and Wilhelm as warmongers, but Wilhelm less so.

And Rothschild cousin Bethmann-Hollweg is also implicated when he refuses to pass on a proposal for a peace conference from Grey to not just Austria but also Kaiser Wilhelm!

But in my opinion, everyone was looking to Great Britain to take sides early, she didn't, and then at the last minute Grey reveals the secret 1912 naval agreement to the cabinet and uses the German invasion of Belgium, as Lloyd George put it, as "moral gloss" to hide Grey's manipulations.

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