CAN WE USE GEOMETRY FOR MH17?

Belling Cat recently published another analysis of the photographs that were claimed to have been taken about one minute after MH17 was hit by whatever brought it down.

Examining the MH17 Launch Smoke Photographs

I have pointed out that there are currently three proposed launch sites for a BUK that allegedly brought down MH17:
1. Chernukino;
2. 5 Km south of Shnizhne;
3. 3 Km north of Shnizhne.

This is some spread in locations. They are not just at opposite ends of a street. They are miles away from each other.

But we can use geometry and meteorology to help to prove or disprove the authenticity of the photographs.

At the time that MH17 was hit the wind speed in the Torez/Shnizhne area was about 12 Km per hour from the east. And we know the distance and direction from the location of the photographer to the proposed launch site 5 Km south of Shnizhne is 8 Km. I have produced this simple triangle to roughly illustrate the scenario.


The photographer is at A, the proposed launch site 5 Km south of Shnizhne is at B and the plume of white smoke is at C having been blown by the wind for the one minute or whatever time it was between the alleged launch and the photographer allegedly taking the photo0graph. The wind speed is a minimum of 12 Km per hour but not much more due to vertical wind shear. The wind speed of 12 Km per hour suggests quite calm conditions.

Regarding angles, the angle B is 45 degrees (assuming the photographer is looking south east and the wind was from the east). The angle A can be measured approximately from the photograph and maps, but looks like it could be around 7 degrees.

So could the wind blow the plume to the location C (wherever it is) in the time between the alleged launch and the photograph being taken? What wind speed would blow the plume to where it is? And is that a reasonable speed? And in what time?

This is where mathematics and geopolitics meet.

But we must remember the situation: a large passenger plane had just been blown out of the sky. People would be looking up and around in the sky looking for something, anything. Some people did and saw fighter jets. Surely they would have noticed this large plume of smoke too?

And one contradiction could be removed if the mine was the Lutugina mine east of Torez because then the field identified by the 'eyewitnesses' of Collectiv would definitely be in the line of sight suggested by the photographs.